Key Points
• The Democratic lead in House generic ballot polling has been very consistent over the course of Donald Trump’s presidency.
• Democrats also have a significant money edge in the lion’s share of their most vulnerable districts. Money is not everything, but it can help.
• We have seven House rating changes, four in favor of Republicans and three in favor of Democrats.
• Put it all together, and Democrats remain favored to hold their House majority. CONT.
Kyle Kondik, Sabato’s Crystal Ball