… In March and early April, new registrations plummeted in many states compared with the same period in 2016, according to new data provided exclusively to The Atlantic by TargetSmart, a Democratic voter-targeting firm. “Registration will almost certainly be diminished, potentially by millions of voters, when all is said and […] Read more »
The Senate: Looking Beyond the “Core Four”
Key Points• The focus on the evenly-matched battle for the Senate has in some ways narrowed to four GOP-held seats: Arizona, Colorado, Maine, and North Carolina.• Practically speaking, Democrats probably have to win all four, and the White House, to win the Senate.• However, the map may be expanding. Democrats’ […] Read more »
Trump Hasn’t Given Up on Divide and Conquer
This coming November, a great deal depends on whether white Democrats are becoming more liberal while white Republicans are simultaneously becoming more conservative. If white Republicans and white Democrats are moving in opposite directions, as much current research suggests, Trump will retain a constituency receptive — perhaps even more receptive […] Read more »
Nearly 1 in 4 Sanders supporters not on board yet with voting for Biden
Bernie Sanders may have endorsed Joe Biden, but almost a quarter of the Vermont senator’s supporters aren’t jumping on board just yet, according to a new poll. Nearly 1 in 4 Sanders supporters (22%) said they would vote for a third party candidate, vote for President Donald Trump, not vote […] Read more »
Why Americans Don’t Vote Their Class Anymore
For decades now, major left-wing parties throughout the West have been bleeding support from the working-class voters whose interests they claim to represent. In the mid-20th century, a voter’s socioeconomic position strongly predicted his or her partisan allegiance: In Britain, France, and the United States, voters with low incomes and […] Read more »
Nervous Republicans See Trump Sinking, and Taking Senate With Him
President Trump’s erratic handling of the coronavirus outbreak, the worsening economy and a cascade of ominous public and private polling have Republicans increasingly nervous that they are at risk of losing the presidency and the Senate if Mr. Trump does not put the nation on a radically improved course. … […] Read more »