Over the past week, the picture has grown ever more clear: Unless things change in a big way by Nov. 3—or whenever enough votes are counted to make it clear—Republicans are going to have a very bad night. The biggest question is, just how bad. CONT. Charlie Cook Recent polls: Trump […] Read more »
The partisan chasm over ‘systemic racism’ is on full display
The throngs of protesters demanding systemic changes in policing are marching directly into one of the deepest chasms between the two political parties. The belief that widespread racism is no longer a problem in American society has become one of the core convictions uniting the modern Republican coalition, especially in […] Read more »
How Do We Know We Are at a Tipping Point?
In times of tumult, it’s hard to understand if we are at a tipping point — a place from where there’s no return to the former ways — or just a short-lived change in behavior. Policy changes often come long after the events that precipitated them. And, of course, changing […] Read more »
CDC, Fauci, WHO Retain High Levels of Favorability
This release features findings from a national online survey of 1,007 registered voters conducted May 28-June 1, 2020. • Most Americans have favorable views of the CDC, Dr. Fauci, and the World Health Organization (WHO), and a majority opposes defunding and withdrawing from the WHO.• A majority view Obamacare favorably, […] Read more »
The Real Threats to America’s Cities
After years of revival and resurgence, the nation’s largest metropolitan areas are now being squeezed by external threats and an internal eruption along their deepest fault line—one that could fracture their political influence in the years to come. America’s cities have already faced almost four years of persistent hostility from […] Read more »
Is the 2020 fight for the House already over?
Of the major political handicappers, not even one of them thinks the House is likely to flip in November. Not the folks at the Cook Political Report. Not the analysts at Sabato’s Crystal Ball. And certainly not my colleagues at Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales, who in a recent […] Read more »