… Seniors have voted for the Republican candidate in every presidential election since 2004, according to exit polls. They favored Trump by 8 points in 2016, according to NBC News exit polls. But most surveys this month show Trump trailing Biden among this group, down by 2 points in a […] Read more »
The white-collar revolt against Trump is peaking
From his open defiance of public health officials when holding rallies to his increasingly explicit embrace of White racial backlash, President Donald Trump has set a course for his reelection campaign that could produce the GOP’s largest deficit in the history of modern polling among well-educated White voters. Relative to […] Read more »
Working-class white women are turning on Trump
President Trump’s storied grip on the white working class is weakening among women, threatening both his reelection prospects and his party’s efforts to improve its standing with female voters. While working-class men remain among Trump’s most loyal backers, defections among their wives, sisters and daughters are a big part of […] Read more »
Biden Is Getting a Lot of Advice on His V.P. Here’s What Voters Think.
Joseph R. Biden Jr. appears to face limited political pressure from voters about whom to choose as his running mate, with no contender emerging as a clear favorite and the great majority of people saying that race should not be a factor in his decision, according to polling conducted by […] Read more »
Flashy primary fights aren’t what get parties to change. Churn is.
On Tuesday night, progressive Democrats in New York claimed another victory in their effort to move the party left by toppling establishment-friendly incumbents, as Jamaal Bowman, who was endorsed by Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren, claimed victory in his primary challenge to longtime Rep. Eliot Engel. … Highly […] Read more »
The Sun Belt Spikes Could Be a Disaster for Trump
The wildfire of coronavirus cases burning through the Sun Belt’s largest cities and suburbs could accelerate their movement away from President Donald Trump and the GOP—a dynamic with the potential to tip the balance in national elections not only in 2020, but for years to come. Until the 2016 election, […] Read more »