Whenever I hear an operative complain about public polling, I have just one thing to say: Put up or shut up. Release your own numbers that show the race in a different place than the public polling, or let the public polling stand. This is especially true in House races, […] Read more »
A massive repudiation of Trump’s racist politics is building
… Trump has accelerated a decades-old trend toward parties redefining themselves by race and racial attitudes. Racial resentment is now the single most important factor driving Republicans and Republican-leaning movers, according to extensive research, most recently by Nicholas Valentino and Kirill Zhirkov at the University of Michigan — more than […] Read more »
Trump Wants a Backlash. Can He Whip One Into Shape?
The public response to the demonstrations over the killing of George Floyd is now beginning to take shape more clearly along familiar ideological lines — in ways that are likely to propel politics this year and beyond, dividing left and right as Democrats and Republicans take opposing stands on the […] Read more »
The House: Democratic Murmurings in the Texas Suburbs – and Elsewhere
Key Points• Joe Biden’s currently strong lead in the presidential race is being felt in the suburbs, which if it lasts could imperil Republicans in some of their formerly dark red turf.• Texas merits special attention, where as many as 10 Republican-held House seats could become vulnerable if Trump were […] Read more »
Charles Booker, Jamaal Bowman And The 7 Competing Camps In Black Politics
… There are now, in my view, at least seven fairly distinct camps among Black political figures — concentrated in the Democratic Party but also stretching into the GOP. These groupings — which come from my own reporting and talking to experts, rather than any specific data set — are […] Read more »
About that running mate: 72% of Democrats say it’s ‘important’ Biden pick woman of color
Seven of 10 Democrats in the new USA TODAY/Suffolk Poll say it is important to them that presumptive nominee Joe Biden picks a woman of color as his running mate on the Democratic presidential ticket this fall. A third of Democrats, among both Black and white Americans, call it “very […] Read more »