Why the 2020s Could Be as Dangerous as the 1850s

If Joe Biden beats Donald Trump decisively next week, this election may be remembered as a hinge point in American history: the moment when a clear majority of voters acknowledged that there’s no turning back from America’s transformation into a nation of kaleidoscopic diversity, a future that doesn’t rely on […] Read more »

Voters Enthusiastic, Anxious as 2020 Campaign Ends

As the 2020 race for president draws to a close, U.S. voters are feeling both enthusiastic about voting and fearful of what the outcome will mean for the country if their candidate loses. Most also agree that the stakes are higher than in previous presidential elections. Against this fraught backdrop, […] Read more »

Implications of the 2020 Election for U.S. Health Policy

This article explores the implications of the 2020 election for the future of health policy in the United States. A substantial body of research has shown that policy decisions made by nationally elected officials in recent years more closely reflect the views of their party’s adherents than they do the […] Read more »

Georgia’s Senate Races Both Move to Toss-up

Key Points• Georgia’s two Senate races move to Toss-up.• They may be the only two races we leave in Toss-up when we release our final election picks on Monday.• The concept of Occam’s Razor — the idea that the simplest explanation is sometimes the likeliest explanation — might be a […] Read more »

Why the GOP hold on Texas is loosening

The huge surge of early voting in Texas’ rapidly growing cities and inner suburbs likely marks the end of unchallenged Republican dominance in America’s second largest state — a seismic shift in the nation’s electoral landscape. Even if President Donald Trump retains enough rural strength to hold Texas in next […] Read more »

With Weakness Among Hispanic Voters, Biden Trails in Texas

President Trump maintains a narrow lead in Texas, according to a New York Times/Siena College poll on Monday, as he faces a rebellion in the state’s once overwhelmingly Republican suburbs but survives with support from an unlikely ally, Hispanic voters. … A Democratic win in Texas would be an epochal […] Read more »