Donald Trump lost the presidency, but showed Republicans a way to win the culture wars with working-class Hispanics. Despite four years of being defined as a racist for his rhetoric and harsh immigration policies, Trump improved his margins in 78 of the nation’s 100 majority-Hispanic counties. And he did better […] Read more »
Don’t write off Latino voters. Meet them at the local level
… What 2020 showed emphatically is that much of what moves Latino voters — and all voters for that matter — happens at the local level. That’s where you find committed organizers and interest groups, working diligently in their own communities, district by district, county by county, state by state. […] Read more »
The Double Went Down to Georgia
… Don’t expect much ticket splitting in the Peachtree State. Putting the Georgia races aside, in every Senate race this year, save the one in Maine, voters chose the same party for president and Senate. In 2016, every single Senate and presidential contest went the same way. Simply put, anyone […] Read more »
Wisconsin: Decisive Again in 2020
Key Points• Once again, Wisconsin appears to be the tipping point state in the Electoral College, though its 10 electoral votes are back in the Democratic column this year.• In 2016, Donald Trump made major inroads in western Wisconsin. Despite coming up short statewide, his gains in the region largely […] Read more »
Senate 2022: An Early Look
Key Points• Democrats may have a better chance of winning the Senate in 2022 than holding the House, even if Democrats lose both Georgia special elections in January.• The president’s party often struggles in midterms, which gives the GOP a generic advantage in the battle for Congress.• The Republicans’ three […] Read more »
Religion Divides Hispanic Opinion in the U.S.
Preliminary exit polling indicates that around one-third of Hispanic voters cast their ballots for President Donald Trump, and more than four in ten voted for Trump in the crucial state of Florida. Trump’s performance among Hispanic voters in 2020 is likely better than it was in 2016, when exit polls […] Read more »