Many of us are wondering if this last year — one of the most tumultuous and consequential in American history — and the last four years of constant political turmoil were ‘outliers’ or if they represent the new normal. A challenge for those of us who have covered politics for […] Read more »
Virginia and New Jersey Governors 2021: A First Look
Key Points• Virginia Democrats are trying to win three consecutive gubernatorial races, a feat the party has not accomplished since the 1980s.• Former Gov. Terry McAuliffe (D-VA) is the favorite for his state’s Democratic nomination, though he faces a diverse field.• In a move that’s ruffled some feathers on their […] Read more »
McLaughlin Poll Shows Democratic Party Neither Healing Nor Unifying Country
In our just completed national survey of 1,000 likely voters, the polarization of the American electorate has not ended with the elections of 2020. Instead, in spite of all the promises and rhetoric political division and disunity continues into 2021. Ironically, President Trump has left a recovering economy and historic […] Read more »
Democrats’ Only Chance to Stop the GOP Assault on Voting Rights
The most explosive battle in decades over access to the voting booth will reach a new crescendo this week, as Republican-controlled states advance an array of measures to restrict the ballot, and the U.S. House of Representatives votes on the federal legislation that represents Democrats’ best chance to stop them. […] Read more »
Why Did Republicans Outperform The Polls Again? Two Theories.
… This is a relatively new phenomenon, but pollsters have increasingly found evidence of partisan nonresponse — that is, particular types of Republicans are just less likely to take surveys, so these voters’ opinions are not reflected in survey data. This was especially relevant in understanding Trump’s support, too, as […] Read more »
Why millennials and Gen Z have the most to lose in the voting wars
In an epic struggle over voting rights, the future political influence of the diverse generations now aging into the electorate could pivot on the fate of legislation the House is expected to consider this week. Even as Republican-controlled states, drawing on former President Donald Trump’s groundless claims of massive fraud […] Read more »