Most of the country saw modest shifts in vote margin from 2016 to 2020. The Texas border stands out for the intensity and breadth of the pro-Republican shift. Miami is also attention getting, but here we focus on Texas. It isn’t that the Texas border counties gave majorities to Trump. […] Read more »
Democrats Could Be Damned if They Do, Damned if They Don’t
… Democrats are correct when they say that many of the individual elements in the pair of spending packages—the more traditional, physical-infrastructure bill, and the expansion of the social safety net via reconciliation—score well when tested in polls. If enacted, they’ll surely prove as popular as Obamacare. After all, while […] Read more »
Polarization over vaccine mandate rules underscores difficulty for U.S. to slow pandemic
Public support for the Biden administration’s drive to get more people vaccinated for COVID-19 is largely split along partisan lines, according to the latest PBS NewsHour/NPR/Marist poll. While employers in some sectors and parts of the country are reporting that a vast majority of workers are complying with new vaccine […] Read more »
Biden’s Approval Rating Recovers Some From Last Month’s Low, An NPR Poll Finds
Since the chaotic U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan a month ago, President Biden’s approval rating has recovered some in the latest NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll. Last month, just 43% of survey respondents approved of how he was doing his job and a majority — 51% — disapproved. Since then, Biden has gained […] Read more »
New Initiative Explores Deep, Persistent Divides Between Biden and Trump Voters
The University of Virginia Center for Politics has partnered with Project Home Fire, a new initiative dedicated to finding common ground in American politics, on an innovative new data analytics and polling project to explore the social, political, and psychological divides between those who voted for Donald Trump and those […] Read more »
The Democrats’ Last Best Shot to Kill the Filibuster
From multiple directions, the crisis over the filibuster is peaking for Democrats. … Reform advocates don’t expect Democrats to resolve the latest standoff by exempting the debt ceiling from the filibuster—most bet that the party will eventually turn to the special budget-reconciliation process to pass the increase. But they do […] Read more »