Key Points• With some key national factors seemingly in their favor, Republicans could win a healthy majority in the House in 2022 — perhaps even their biggest in nearly a century.• However, compared to past Republican midterm wave cycles, specifically 1994 and 2010, Republicans probably have less room for growth.• […] Read more »
Don’t rule out a GOP Senate wave
As usual, Democrats are fighting among themselves — this time about what to do with the Senate filibuster. … The irony here is that while some Democrats worry that carving out an exception to the filibuster might set a bad precedent, the imbalance in the three Senate classes, which I […] Read more »
Why Republicans aren’t likely to lose any Senate seats in 2022
Wisconsin’s Republican Sen. Ron Johnson announced he was running for reelection on Sunday. That should be viewed as good news by Republicans, who need a net gain of just one seat in this year’s midterm elections to wrestle Senate control from the Democrats. While we don’t know what the outcome […] Read more »
Biden’s economic message needs a reality check
… Per our Jan. 2-4 Winning the Issues survey, our first of the year, what we’re seeing isn’t a “failure to communicate” on the part of Biden, his administration and congressional Democrats, but a failure to connect with the reality most Americans are facing and the priorities people want addressed. […] Read more »
If Democrats can’t pass their agenda now, they may not get another chance for years. Here’s why
The last four times a president went into midterm elections holding unified control of the White House, Senate and House of Representatives, as Joe Biden and Democrats do now, voters have revoked it. It happened to Donald Trump in 2018, Barack Obama in 2010, George W. Bush in 2006 and […] Read more »
Idiosyncrasies of Senate Races Could Play to Dems’ Advantage
… At this point it would seem to take divine intervention, Republican self-destruction, or both to save the House Democratic majority. With every seat up simultaneously before voters every two years, the House is an amazingly accurate barometer of the prevailing political mood—something quite remarkable given how few congressional districts […] Read more »