Democrats working to save their slim majority in the House in November’s elections have been sounding alarm bells lately over research showing that Republican attacks on culture-war issues are working, particularly with center-left, Hispanic and independent voters. … The Democrats’ problems with Hispanics are especially glaring when you consider that […] Read more »
Youth turnout could save, or sink, Democrats in 2022
Soaring turnout and big margins among young voters were central to the Democratic victories in the 2018 congressional and 2020 presidential elections. But with many young people expressing disenchantment with President Joe Biden’s performance, preserving those advantages looms as one of the biggest challenges facing Democrats in the 2022 midterms. […] Read more »
Poll: Hispanics aren’t flocking to the GOP, but Democrats still have problems
Heading into the 2022 midterm elections, Republicans have been riding a wave of positive press about their gains among Hispanic voters as Democrats fret about hemorrhaging support from the fast-growing demographic. But while Democrats clearly have a problem, the GOP’s growing support among Latinos is less dramatic than some headlines […] Read more »
How Biden undermined his party’s political future
Poring through the latest round of polls showing President Biden’s approval regressing back near all-time lows, it’s worth presenting an alternative history, one in which he governed as he campaigned—a pragmatist offering a simple return to normalcy after the tumult of the Trump years. He’d rightly recognize himself as a […] Read more »
Unpacking Biden’s Vulnerabilities
President Biden and the Democrats have paid a terrible toll in public opinion over the last 13 months. And his political ledger still drips with red ink, despite the misplaced optimism coming from some Democrats. True, coming on the heels of his mostly well-reviewed State of the Union, Biden’s numbers […] Read more »
Biden’s Uncertainty Principle
The “return to normalcy” in American life is starting to look something like the horizon: It recedes whenever you approach it. For President Joe Biden and congressional Democrats anxious about the November midterm elections, nothing could be more ominous. Last summer’s Delta wave dashed hopes that the deployment of COVID […] Read more »