… There are now, in my view, at least seven fairly distinct camps among Black political figures — concentrated in the Democratic Party but also stretching into the GOP. These groupings — which come from my own reporting and talking to experts, rather than any specific data set — are […] Read more »
Warren Goes on Offense
This week, we break down the winners and losers of the final Democratic primary debate before the Iowa caucuses. Plus, we deep-dive into two new polls out of the Hawkeye State. Then, we discuss what Cory Booker’s exit might reveal about Democratic voters’ priorities. The Forecast Fest Read more »
A Four-Way Pileup In Iowa
The latest polling in Iowa shows a tight, four-way race just three weeks away from caucus day. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew updates their thinking about who is likely to win there, and about how a win in Iowa could affect the rest of the […] Read more »
Biden holds wide lead among black voters in Democratic presidential race, Post-Ipsos poll finds
Former vice president Joe Biden is far and away the favored candidate for the Democratic presidential nomination among black Americans, boosted by his personal popularity, his service in the Obama administration and perceptions that he is best equipped to defeat President Trump, according to a national Washington Post-Ipsos poll. CONT. […] Read more »
10 of 11 Iowa voters picked this Democrat after debate
CNN’s Gary Tuchman speaks with voters in Iowa to see where they stand on 2020 candidates following 2019’s final Democratic debate. CONT. CNN Read more »
Why White Iowans Want a Nominee Who Can Appeal to Nonwhite Voters
They share awkward glances at events where nearly everyone looks like them. They take comfort in reminding one another that they propelled Barack Obama to the White House. They swear that their values and priorities are representative of more than a Corn Belt farm state. With less than two months […] Read more »