Vibe Shift

After months of “Democrats are doomed” chatter, there’s been a definite shift in mood and momentum toward the party in power. Republicans are openly fretting about their flawed and under-funded Senate candidates, while Democrats, who not long ago were bemoaning fumbles by the White House and Democratic leadership in Congress, […] Read more »

Americans Support 19 of the Major Proposals in Inflation Reduction Act of 2022

A new analysis of past in-depth surveys conducted on 20 of the major proposals in the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022—related to the environment, health care, and the workforce—shows that 19 proposals receive majority support, including majorities of Democrats and Independents, and in most cases, large bipartisan majorities. Among Republicans, […] Read more »

Will improving economic news be enough to help the incumbent party in November?

Every election cycle since the phrase was popularized in the 1992 presidential campaign, voters are reminded by politicians and pundits alike that elections almost always come down to one simple concept: “It’s the economy, stupid.” The 2022 midterm cycle has not parted from that tradition. But as the fall approaches […] Read more »

National poll of Latino voters—priorities, values, policy perspectives, and views of and outreach from the parties

In a period that has brought the shock of Uvalde, restrictions on women’s rights, and climate-related destruction, this large poll of 2,750 Latino voters found that their priorities have experienced a seismic shift, with gun violence/crime and abortion rising dramatically, while putting an exclamation point on the rising cost of […] Read more »

Why the Soothsayers Are So Puzzled by This Year’s Midterms

Doug Sosnik is the kind of political analyst who likes to figure out the results of the next election well in advance — it’s just how he’s wired. But even Sosnik, a former adviser to President Bill Clinton who now tries to forecast elections as a hobby, is stumped about […] Read more »