An Early Look at (Too) Early Data on SCOTUS Abortion Ruling

The Supreme Court’s Dobbs decision overturning Roe v. Wade is a historic event, but it will take at least a few weeks, if not longer, to know whether it is an election-changing event. Arguably the worst time to measure the political impact of an event is while it is still […] Read more »

Politics in the Post-Roe World

Key Points• The president’s party often struggles in midterms, although extraordinary circumstances can save them from losses. The Supreme Court’s overturning of Roe vs. Wade could be 2022’s extraordinary circumstance.• Beyond abortion, Republicans still retain powerful political advantages.• Democrats could get their version of 2018’s “Kavanaugh Effect.”• 2022 won’t definitively […] Read more »

Majorities oppose Supreme Court’s abortion ruling and worry about other rights

Majorities of Americans say they disagree with the Supreme Court’s decision to overturn Roe v. Wade, think it was politically motivated, are concerned the court will now reconsider rulings that protect other rights, and are more likely to vote for a candidate this fall who would restore the right to […] Read more »

Democrats still have this glimmer of hope for the midterm elections

President Joe Biden can’t avoid a bad midterm election. But with a boost last week from the US Supreme Court, he still might avoid the worst. A bad election means losing the Democratic majority in the US House of Representatives, which his own party’s strategists now consider virtually certain. A […] Read more »

CBS News poll: Americans react to overturning of Roe v. Wade — most disapprove, call it step backward

The American public is rendering its initial judgment on the overturning of Roe v. Wade, and most disapprove of the ruling, including two-thirds of women who disapprove. By more than a 20-point margin, Americans call it a step backward rather than forward for America. And women, by more than three […] Read more »

CBS News poll: Half say Trump tried to stay in office through illegal means, should be charged with crimes

Most Americans continue to feel U.S. democracy is threatened, and the Jan. 6 hearings offer a window into their different reasons why. From what they’ve seen of the hearings thus far, half the country thinks former President Donald Trump planned to remain in office through unconstitutional and illegal activities. Half […] Read more »