The number of Americans who are financially struggling has increased by double digits in the past year as inflation and gas prices top the list of problems faced by the nation’s families. The Monmouth University Poll finds a majority say the federal government’s actions are hurting them and that President […] Read more »
Has the generic-ballot question lost its predictive power?
In a notable reversal from typical trends, Republicans took the lead in polling averages of the congressional generic-ballot question in late 2021 and have remained a few percentage points ahead of Democrats since. What does that mean for November? Probably less than you think. This survey question—used because it isn’t […] Read more »
Here’s why Democrats could keep the Senate
Election Day 2022 is now four months away. Democrats are trying to hold on to slim majorities in both the House and Senate. They’re doing so against the backdrop of high inflation and an economy viewed in poor shape, which is the issue dominating voters’ minds. I’ve generally been high […] Read more »
Confidence in U.S. Institutions Down; Average at New Low
Americans are less confident in major U.S. institutions than they were a year ago, with significant declines for 11 of the 16 institutions tested and no improvements for any. The largest declines in confidence are 11 percentage points for the Supreme Court — as reported in late June before the […] Read more »
McConnell wants to win the suburbs by defusing cultural hot buttons. Trump and his own party have other ideas.
When Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell voted for the most significant gun violence prevention bill in nearly three decades, he offered a candid explanation for his turnaround after decades of opposing firearm restrictions. “It’s no secret that we’ve lost ground in suburban areas. We pretty much own rural and small-town […] Read more »
I don’t buy GOP will definitely win Senate after SCOTUS decisions: Silver
FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver breaks down how the recent landmark Supreme Court decisions will affect the midterm elections on “This Week.” CONTINUED This Week, ABC News The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack Read more »