In a period that has brought the shock of Uvalde, restrictions on women’s rights, and climate-related destruction, this large poll of 2,750 Latino voters found that their priorities have experienced a seismic shift, with gun violence/crime and abortion rising dramatically, while putting an exclamation point on the rising cost of […] Read more »
4 in 10 would back a Trump presidential bid in 2024
The House January 6th Committee has tried to make the case that former President Donald Trump bears direct responsibility for what happened at the U.S. Capitol last year. The latest Monmouth University Poll, though, suggests it hasn’t moved the needle with the American public. In general, public opinion stands pretty […] Read more »
Why the Soothsayers Are So Puzzled by This Year’s Midterms
Doug Sosnik is the kind of political analyst who likes to figure out the results of the next election well in advance — it’s just how he’s wired. But even Sosnik, a former adviser to President Bill Clinton who now tries to forecast elections as a hobby, is stumped about […] Read more »
Donald Trump’s grip on the GOP is still strong
To be or not to be, that is the question when it comes to former President Donald Trump’s potential 2024 presidential campaign. The man who used to occupy the Oval Office has been holding rallies and endorsing candidates across the country this primary season. And this past week provided crucial […] Read more »
Culture wars could be a winning issue — for Democrats
The top lines for Democrats continue to be brutal heading into the November midterm elections: Voters are furious about inflation, they overwhelmingly believe the country is heading in the wrong direction, and President Biden is not at all a popular figure. But based on recent polling, the issue matrix has […] Read more »
Reassessing the Race for the Senate
Key Points• In an election where Republicans are banking on the environment while Democrats are banking on differences in candidate quality, Republicans are relying on a very inexperienced group of candidates.• Compared to 2014, the last time Republicans flipped the Senate, the party’s non-incumbent candidates are incredibly green.• Democrats, meanwhile, […] Read more »