After a cacophonous two weeks of political news, a new sound has begun to emerge from Washington: the word “impeachment.” … In a perfect world, we’d have data on hundreds of presidents, a few dozen of whom had been impeached. That would let us statistically identify the various factors that […] Read more »
For Democrats, special elections may be preview of 2018 campaigns
Democrats are heading into the homestretch of three special elections over the next month amid a national frenzy over the investigation into the possible connections of President Trump’s 2016 campaign and Russian interference in the election. Yet in all three races, Democrats have made a tactical decision not to turn […] Read more »
Trump turmoil is spreading far beyond Washington to state and local races
As a cascade of controversies consumes the White House, anxiety is rising among Republicans well beyond the Beltway that President Trump’s troubles could take a severe toll on the party heading into next year’s midterm elections and beyond. With a near-daily string of new scandals and unfavorable headlines — including […] Read more »
California: Poll details how Orange County GOP House members may be vulnerable
Orange County’s independent voters heavily favor a Democrat Congress member in the county’s four Republican-held congressional districts, underlining the GOP’s vulnerability in these longtime strongholds, according to a poll released Friday. While the survey was done by a Democratic pollster, non-partisan political data expert Paul Mitchell said the methodology, questions […] Read more »
Trump Will Go When the Conservative Media Say It’s Time to Go (Probably Never)
Donald Trump’s presidency is barely four months old, but the events of the past week or so have seemed so explosively damaging to his position in the eyes of many observers that I spent part of my Tuesday morning on the phone with an Ottawa radio show explaining to Canadian […] Read more »
The Unfolding Republican Nightmare
If a Democrat had a nightmare a year ago, it might well look like what happened in last November’s elections. If a Republican had a nightmare on the eve of President Trump’s inauguration, it might well look like the last 118 days. After a presidential campaign that was, start to […] Read more »