There was likely good reason why Greg Gianforte, successful Republican candidate for Congress from Montana, lost his cool on the eve of the election — scuffling with a reporter, breaking the man’s glasses and ending up with a misdemeanor assault charge: He, like many Republicans these days, walks a perilous […] Read more »
Montana went Republican, as expected
We ran three polls of Montana: May 12, 19, and 25 (12 PM MT to 7 PM MT). On the May 12 poll we had Republican Gianforte +12 and we had Gianforte holding that lead a week later on May 19. We were not planning on a running an additional […] Read more »
Why Montana just elected Greg Gianforte, a man charged with assault, to Congress
Lee Banville, The University of Montana Until just about 24 hours before the polls closed, the race for Montana’s sole congressional seat seemed to be focused on health care, Donald Trump and gun rights. Republican businessman Greg Gianforte appeared to be headed for a likely victory in the race against […] Read more »
What to Make of Montana?
… Clinton lost Montana by 20 points last year, and musician Rob Quist, the Democratic nominee, lost by six points on Thursday, a 14-point net improvement. It’s another example of this trend and is probably a sign of increased Democratic engagement after the party took a nap in special elections […] Read more »
Who’s Winning the TV Ad Messaging Wars on Health Care Reform?
The fight for Obamacare repeal is moving on two separate, but parallel tracks. One is a legislative track to a future and final Republican health care reform bill; a bill that can make it through the Senate, reconciliation with the House and onto the president’s desk to be signed into […] Read more »
Democrats Need These California Seats to Win Back the House
Despite its size, California has become little more than a fundraising stop in national elections because it has grown so reliably Democratic over the past two decades. But the razor-thin vote in the House of Representatives earlier this month to repeal and replace the Affordable Care Act has moved the […] Read more »