The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast looks at the Trump administration’s practice of separating immigrant parents and children at the border and assesses the role that immigration plays in the Republican Party overall. The crew also reacts to the U.S. Supreme Court’s Monday decision on gerrymandering. Finally, the team continues a series […] Read more »
Moderate GOP voices on immigration are at risk of a November wipeout in the House
House Republicans are at risk of losing several of their members in the midterm elections who are more moderate on the issue of immigration. Immigration has re-emerged as part of the national conversation in recent weeks as lawmakers in Congress attempted to address the fate of those immigrants affected by […] Read more »
As Trump’s zero-tolerance immigration policy backfires, Republicans are in jeopardy
If President Trump’s new “zero-tolerance” policy of separating immigrant children from their parents at the border was intended to pressure Democrats, it is backfiring badly—among Democrats, as expected, but among Republicans as well. Rupert Murdoch’s New York Post, whose editorial page consistently backs the president, wrote on Sunday that “It’s […] Read more »
Riling Up the Base May Backfire on Trump
Political commentators and strategists write with some awe of President Trump’s outrageous, gutsy strategy of ginning up his base with one more attack on black athletes, one more crackdown on Central American mothers and children on the Mexican border, one more assault on Obamacare, one more tariff on imports. … […] Read more »
In Iowa, Republicans and Democrats fight for elusive independent voters, whoever they are
Abby Finkenauer says she’s running for Congress to represent hard-working Iowans who just want “enough money at the end of the week to send their kids to baseball and softball practice and buy a case of beer.” Rod Blum, the two-term Republican incumbent she hopes to unseat, is a self-made […] Read more »
‘Throw the bums out’ coalition changes shape in 2018
In every election there is always a group of disgruntled voters who want to “throw the bums out,” and poll numbers show they’re back in 2018. An examination of the data, however, suggests this year’s collection of angry voters looks different than it has in recent years – and it […] Read more »