In three politically important Midwest states — including two that were key in deciding the 2016 election — President Donald Trump’s job approval rating is below 40 percent, and Democrats hold a sizable lead for the upcoming congressional midterms, according to a trio of new NBC News/Marist polls. CONT. Mark […] Read more »
Immigration and the 2018 midterms: A view from competitive districts
Today, experts released new battleground poll results conducted by Latino Decisions – on behalf of America’s Voice, Mi Familia Vota, Indivisible, NAACP, The Immigration Hub, and AAPI Civic Engagement Fund – of Latino, Asian American, African American, Native American, and White likely voters in 61 districts across the United States. […] Read more »
Are Democrats losing or winning?
Two months ago, we were deluged with seemingly dismal news for Democrats. Newsweek’s headline asked, “Are Democrats Losing Their 2018 Midterm Advantage?” If the question itself left anyone in doubt, the headline went on to offer an answer: “A New Poll Says Yes.” CNN claimed “Democrats’ 2018 advantage is nearly […] Read more »
What The Rise Of Kamala Harris Tells Us About The Democratic Party
… Sen. Kamala Harris has not officially said she is running in 2020, but she hasn’t denied it, either, and she’s showing many of the signs of someone who is preparing for a run, including campaigning for her Democratic colleagues in key races and signing a deal to write a […] Read more »
Polling Still Points to Rough November for Republicans
If you trust the July 9-11 Fox News poll and the July 15-18 NBC News/Wall Street Journal survey — and I have no reason not to — the GOP still looks headed for a difficult election and the likely loss of the House. No, President Donald Trump’s voters are not […] Read more »
To crack Trump’s voter base, Democrats must focus on opportunity, not outrage
The first polling reactions to last week’s summit between President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin in Helsinki, Finland, should extinguish the last doubts, if any remained, that outrage over Trump’s behavior is likely to ever dislodge a meaningful portion of his core supporters. And that may encourage Democrats […] Read more »