Are Democrats losing or winning?

Two months ago, we were deluged with seemingly dismal news for Democrats.

Newsweek’s headline asked, “Are Democrats Losing Their 2018 Midterm Advantage?” If the question itself left anyone in doubt, the headline went on to offer an answer: “A New Poll Says Yes.”

CNN claimed “Democrats’ 2018 advantage is nearly gone,” while Slate inquired “Are Democrats losing the midterms?” and this newspaper answered with a lede of its own: “Democrats’ lead is slipping.”

The current news isn’t getting quite the same headline treatment, but it’s much more positive for Democrats, much more consistent with history and much less cherry-picked. CONT.

Mark Mellman (Mellman Group), The Hill