We don’t tend to talk much about undecided voters in political analysis. Sometimes, you can gloss over them altogether by referring to a candidate’s polling lead, such as “Dems plus-5.” But undecided voters can decide elections; in 2016 they played a key role in swinging toward Mr. Trump in the […] Read more »
The Senate: How 2018 Sets Up 2020
The 2018 Senate races are important not just for determining the majority next January, but also for setting up both parties for the next election. … If Republicans can net a seat or two this year, it would make their position much stronger in 2020, much like their strong showing […] Read more »
The 2018 Impact on the 2020 Democratic Nomination
Talk of Democrats winning the House (and maybe even the Senate), turns quickly to the question of what a divided Congress would mean for legislating and the odds that Democrats will call for President Trump’s impeachment. … After watching him for the last year and a half, this unpredictable and […] Read more »
Voter Enthusiasm at Record High in Nationalized Midterm Environment
With less than six weeks to go before the elections for Congress, voter enthusiasm is at its highest level during any midterm in more than two decades. And a record share of registered voters – 72% – say the issue of which party controls Congress will be a factor in […] Read more »
The Controversy Over Kavanaugh Won’t End With a Vote
Even if Senate Republicans “plow right through” the ever-expanding chaos surrounding Brett Kavanaugh, the battle over his Supreme Court nomination is unlikely to end soon. … The Kavanaugh controversy erupted as polls were already showing a threat to GOP candidates this fall, in the form of an intense backlash against […] Read more »
Aftab Pureval’s secret poll obtained by Enquirer
The Enquirer has obtained the poll at the center of a campaign finance spending complaint against Hamilton County Clerk of Courts Aftab Pureval – and it’s unquestionably a poll about his current congressional race. CONT. Sharon Coolidge, Cincinnati Enquirer Read more »