Democratic Congressional candidates now hold a nine-point advantage over Republicans, according to the latest poll from the PBS NewsHour, NPR and Marist. But can polls be trusted? In 2016, polls in key states showed Hillary Clinton winning handily. Donald Trump won all three. Judy Woodruff discusses with NPR’s Domenico Montanaro […] Read more »
Election night could go into overtime
… For those of you hoping the 2018 midterms will end on Election Day, I have some bad news: It’s possible that we go into overtime. I’m not just talking recounts. I’m talking about runoff elections in Georgia and Mississippi. CONT. Harry Enten, CNN Read more »
2018 House Race Stability
Despite the onslaught of major news events, the Monmouth University Poll finds the race for control of the House of Representatives does not look much different in October than it did over the summer. Aggregated analysis of previously released polls in seven competitive districts finds that the underlying dynamics in […] Read more »
Senate: Four More Days! Four More Days! Four More Days!
The waning days of any election cycle are always the hardest as there is little more left for the political world to do but speculate and traffic in gossip. Nearly every conversation begins with, “So I heard …”. This cycle has been no exception, but the final days have been […] Read more »
Why We’re Headed for Huge Turnout
A week before the midterm elections, both parties are filled with anxiety. Like football wide receivers who have been blind-sided one time too many, many Democrats are hearing real or imaginary footsteps—residual trauma from the 2016 election, when they thought things were going so well until they didn’t. Similarly mindful […] Read more »
Top Issues for Voters: Healthcare, Economy, Immigration
Healthcare, the economy and immigration top a list of issues that voters consider important to their vote for Congress this year. Other issues that at least seven in 10 voters rate as “extremely” or “very” important include the treatment of women in U.S. society, gun policy and taxes. The investigation […] Read more »