Key Points• It will take some time to assess any possible fallout from the Pennsylvania Senate debate on Tuesday night. Lt. Gov. John Fetterman (D-PA) very clearly struggled.• Early voting has begun in our pair of Senate Toss-ups, Georgia and Nevada, with inconclusive signals.• Democrats should be more worried about […] Read more »
Why Pennsylvania’s race could determine who wins the Senate
Tell me who wins the Pennsylvania Senate race, and I’ll probably be able to tell you who controls the Senate next year. Such a declarative statement may seem like hyperbole, but the stakes after Tuesday’s debate in Pennsylvania – which represents Democrats’ best chance of picking up a Republican seat […] Read more »
Health of Democracy and Rising Costs Are Leading Midterm Voter Concerns
As the midterm elections near, a new national survey released today by Public Religion Research Institute (PRRI) shows a society divided between moving toward a more inclusive democracy and turning back the clock to the 1950s, as well as grave concerns about the health of our democracy. PRRI’s comprehensive 13th […] Read more »
Fundamentals Favor Republicans
For much of this cycle, the question has been whether Democrats would be able to defy the traditional midterm fundamentals and make the 2022 election a ‘choice’ instead of a ‘referendum’ on the president and his party. … But, with less than two weeks until Election Day, it looks as […] Read more »
The House: GOP Hits 218 in Ratings as Battle Rages Across Big Playing Field
Key Points• We now rate 218 House seats — the magic number for winning a majority — as at least Leans Republican in our House ratings.• A large number of races remain close and competitive. The danger for Democrats is that these races end up breaking disproportionately to the Republicans.• […] Read more »
North Carolina: Budd Edges Beasley Among Definite Voters in Senate Race
In the race for U.S. Senate in North Carolina, Democrat Cheri Beasley and Republican Ted Budd are tied among registered voters in the state. But, among those definitely planning to vote, Budd has a narrow lead over Beasley. … President Joe Biden’s job approval rating is upside down in North […] Read more »