John Sides and Lynn Vavreck share what they’ve learned for the midterms and beyond. The Ezra Klein Show podcast The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack Read more »
The Double-Negative Election
This has become the double-negative election. Most Americans consistently say in polls that they believe that President Joe Biden and congressional Democrats have mismanaged crime, the border, and, above all, the economy and inflation. But roughly as many Americans say that they view the modern Republican Party as a threat […] Read more »
The 2022 Race for the House, in Four Districts, and Four Polls
President Biden is unpopular everywhere. Economic concerns are mounting. Abortion rights are popular but social issues are more often secondary. A new series of House polls by The New York Times and Siena College across four archetypal swing districts offers fresh evidence that Republicans are poised to retake Congress this […] Read more »
Democrats are haunted by inflation
We’re less than two weeks out from the congressional elections, and suddenly Democrats have discovered that their top issues for the past few months — democracy, abortion and their “historic legislative accomplishments” — are not the top issues for most voters. … Despite the fact that Democrats knew their “recovery” […] Read more »
Harvard Youth Poll: Fall 2022
A national poll released today by the Institute of Politics at Harvard Kennedy School indicates that 40% of 18-to-29-year-olds state that they will “definitely” vote in the November 8 midterm elections, on track to match or potentially exceed the record-breaking 2018 youth turnout in a midterm election. Young voters prefer […] Read more »
Ipsos Quick Take: The Midterm Elections
It is not an understatement to say that we have all experienced unprecedented change in the last two years. Think of it: waves of hope and grief as the U.S. struggled to get the COVID pandemic under control, historic levels of inflation, the overturn of Roe v. Wade, and with […] Read more »