We don’t often see a runoff in a general election, but if Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith were to lose Mississippi’s Senate runoff on Tuesday, after the two Republican candidates combined to win a sizable majority of the initial vote, that would be even more unusual. CONT. Geoffrey Skelley, FiveThirtyEight Read more »
A political blockade is colliding with the evidence on climate change
In rapid succession, the results of this month’s election and the release of blockbuster new scientific studies are widening the distance between the politics and science of climate change. The massive new study released by federal scientists Friday, like another landmark analysis in October from the United Nation’s Intergovernmental Panel […] Read more »
Navigator Research: Americans Want the New Congress to Provide a Check on the White House
… This survey confirms what was found in the election-night exit polls: more voters meant to express opposition to Trump (43%) than support (29%). That gap widens slightly when the contrast is framed as a “check and balance” (46%) versus support for Trump (27%). … As Democrats seek to set their […] Read more »
The lesson of 2018 for Democrats is not that they need a more moderate message for rural voters
… We’re now firmly in the analysis phase of the 2018 midterm elections, an election cycle in which Democrats slightly overperformed expectations in the House while seeing a net loss in the Senate, winning two-thirds of the contested Senate seats. One of the central questions for the party centers on […] Read more »
The Suburbs Are Changing. But Not in All the Ways Liberals Hope.
… Election outcomes in America have become increasingly correlated with population density, a pattern that also appears in other industrialized countries. Rural areas are now reliably Republican, urban areas overwhelmingly Democratic. The suburbs are lodged in between, with many economically conservative but socially liberal voters who have a foot in […] Read more »
Cindy Hyde-Smith still favored in Mississippi Senate runoff despite controversies
The Mississippi Senate runoff was expected to be a quiet finale to the 2018 election season but instead has turned into a nationally watched affair. Republican Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith’s comments about attending a “public hanging,” along with a series of other controversies, have led to critical media coverage and several […] Read more »