Given the growth in the Latino electorate, which is expected to surpass African Americans as the second largest group of voters in 2020, many polling organizations now report out subgroup results for “Hispanics.” They shouldn’t. Their sample sizes of Latino voters are woefully small, typically 80-150 in size, and their […] Read more »
Why don’t Americans want to impeach Trump?
Americans’ heightened aversion to impeachment — 29 percent favor impeachment in the latest Quinnipiac poll, while 66 percent do not — seems unrelated to a belief in President Trump’s innocence or approval of his performance. In the same poll in which 66 percent oppose impeachment, including 38 percent of Democrats, […] Read more »
The Aftermath: A look at the latest NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist Poll results about the Mueller report
On this week’s episode of our podcast, Poll Hub, we drill down into the latest NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist Poll results on the subject. From investigations to impeachment, the Poll Hub team reveals what Americans want Congress to do next and the potential impact of the Mueller report on the 2020 presidential […] Read more »
Red, Green, and Blue: The Partisan Divide on Environmental Issues
This Element explores the growing party divisions on the environment in the United States. It draws upon quantitative and qualitative data from several decades of national and state politics. The study contributes theory to the party position change literature, showing that interest groups change parties, but in turn are changed […] Read more »
Most Democrats Back Impeachment Hearings, A Move That’s Unpopular Overall
Most Democrats want impeachment hearings to begin now that special counsel Robert Mueller’s redacted findings are public, but that idea is still unpopular overall, according to a new NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll. The results come as national Democratic Party leaders and 2020 presidential candidates are grappling with how to approach an […] Read more »
Mueller’s Letter Puts Barr In The Hot Seat
In late March, Special Counsel Robert Mueller wrote Attorney General William Barr a letter expressing concern that Barr had mischaracterized the special counsel’s conclusions to Congress earlier that month. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses the political repercussions of Mueller’s letter, which was made public […] Read more »