Key Points• Incumbent senators almost never lose reelection in presidential years when their party’s presidential candidate wins their state.• Democrats need to net four seats to win an outright majority in the Senate and three seats to tie it. In the case of a Senate tie, the vice president casts […] Read more »
The Democrats’ House Polling Lead: Remarkably Steady
Key Points• The Democratic lead in House generic ballot polling has been very consistent over the course of Donald Trump’s presidency.• Democrats also have a significant money edge in the lion’s share of their most vulnerable districts. Money is not everything, but it can help.• We have seven House rating […] Read more »
Fox News Poll: Biden tops Trump in Michigan, where Gov. Whitmer is more popular than president
Majorities of Michigan voters are concerned about coronavirus, think President Trump was too slow reacting to it, and favor waiting to reopen the economy. That contributes to Joe Biden leading the presidential race in a Fox News Poll of Michigan registered voters released Wednesday. CONT. Dana Blanton, Fox News Read more »
Is America Ready to Re-Open?
Americans remain largely supportive of how state and local governments are handling the coronavirus outbreak and the measures they are taking to prevent the spread of the virus. And, they expect these measures will be necessary for at least the near future. CONT. Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research Read more »
Positive Economic Views Plummet; Support for Government Aid Crosses Party Lines
Amid record unemployment claims and the disruption of commercial activity caused by the novel coronavirus outbreak, the public’s assessments of the U.S. economy have deteriorated with extraordinary speed and severity. Just 23% of Americans now rate economic conditions in the country as excellent or good, down sharply from 57% at […] Read more »
The fight for the Senate: A pinkie on the scale for Democrats?
Last September, I wrote in this space that small developments had given Democrats “some reason for optimism about next year’s fight for the Senate.” But I also noted the party would “need an upset or two to win control of the chamber next November.” More than seven months later, circumstances […] Read more »