Joe Biden has reached 270 electoral votes for the first time since POLITICO’s Election Forecast debuted late last year. In addition to a double-digit national lead, Biden has built a stable advantage in the three Great Lakes States that put Donald Trump over the top in 2016: Michigan, Pennsylvania and […] Read more »
Republicans ditching Trump as their Senate prospects worsen
Here’s the clearest sign that Democrats hold a clear advantage in their efforts to retake the Senate: Embattled Republican senators, most of whom proudly embraced Donald Trump through thick and thin, are suddenly running away from the president as he craters in the polls. The growing GOP panic, even among […] Read more »
Republicans start to distance from Trump
The fever may be starting to break. Donald Trump has held his party in line with bullying tactics and the white-hot love of the conservative populist base. But now — badly trailing in the polls and marred by increasingly erratic, self-sabotaging behavior — there are signs that some Republicans are […] Read more »
Top GOP Hands Brace for a Blowout
In talking to pollsters and political operatives in both parties over the past few days, I heard from nary a voice that thinks President Trump did anything other than hurt himself in last week’s debate. The only dispute is over how much. Yet before we could even get a good […] Read more »
Why Republicans should be worried about Arizona
Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden and his running mate, California Sen. Kamala Harris, are in the swing state of Arizona on Thursday, and so is Vice President Mike Pence. Their presence underscores the importance of the state to the path to the presidency in November. And while Arizona hasn’t voted […] Read more »
With Just Weeks to Go, Trump is Not Making up Ground
Key Points• Recent rosy polling for Joe Biden in the presidential race may represent an artificial sugar high for the challenger.• But at this point, Donald Trump needs to be making up ground — not treading water or falling further behind.• 11 rating changes across four categories of races (president, […] Read more »