Key Points• A majority of states are now either solidly Republican or solidly Democratic on the presidential level, and the party a state prefers for president increasingly has a big edge in winning the state’s two Senate seats. Given these patterns, it’s possible to game out the basic contours of […] Read more »
Republicans should disband if they don’t win back the House in 2022
Failure, disappointment and embarrassment. Those three feelings should come to mind for Republicans if they don’t win the House majority in 2022. Democrats have their narrowest majority in more than a generation, and Republicans have redistricting and history on their side in the midterm elections. There’s really no excuse for […] Read more »
The Six Factors That Will Shape 2022
In politics, as in weather, there can be a sudden change in the prevailing winds. Take the last three weeks before November’s elections, when a narrow but pivotal slice of voters, mostly independents, got cold feet about giving Democrats the big win that had appeared to be almost certain. Perhaps […] Read more »
Republicans shut out Democrats in Texas’s special election. That’s a bad omen for Team Blue.
President Biden’s success in the suburbs last year has led many Democrats to crow about their chance to create a new version of Franklin D. Roosevelt’s New Deal coalition, which dominated U.S. politics for nearly 50 years. Saturday’s special election in Texas’s 6th Congressional District shows how far the party […] Read more »
The Next Hundred: 10 Things to Know About Team Biden & the Future
Political analysis, by Bruce Mehlman of Mehlman Castagnetti Rosen & Thomas. CONTINUED — pdf The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack Read more »
Do You Live in a Political Bubble?
More than half of Republicans believe that last year’s election was stolen from Donald Trump. Rather than reject claims of election fraud, Republican lawmakers have used the premise that the election was stolen to justify restrictions on voting. Mr. Trump most likely deserves much of the blame for the widespread […] Read more »