… On Friday, the New York Times published a column by liberal journalist Ezra Klein profiling the Democratic political strategist and data analyst David Shor. … We are, of course, currently in a moment of what history tells us is a rare and temporary period of unified Democratic rule, likely […] Read more »
David Shor Is Telling Democrats What They Don’t Want to Hear
President Biden’s agenda is in peril. Democrats hold a bare 50 seats in the Senate, which gives any member of their caucus the power to block anything he or she chooses, at least in the absence of Republican support. And Senators Joe Manchin and Kyrsten Sinema are wielding that leverage […] Read more »
A Return to Normal or a “New” Normal?
The central premise and promise of the Biden campaign in 2020 was that he’d return things to normal. But, normal meant different things to different people. For some ‘normal’ meant a return to a pre-Trumpian model of presidential leadership; one with more gravitas and stability and less drama, chaos and […] Read more »
Beating up on Manchin and Sinema won’t fix the Biden agenda
… When your political strategy isn’t working, the answer isn’t to dig in and double down but to rethink your strategy and the policies driving it. But our current president and his Democratic Congress don’t seem capable of rethinking much of anything, much less considering the possibility that the extreme […] Read more »
Introducing Our U.S. House Ratings
As we noted in the Crystal Ball last week, the congressional redistricting process is unfolding across the country, to the point where we now have a handful of states with finalized maps — meaning that, barring a successful lawsuit down the line, these states have their maps in place for […] Read more »
Why the Senate doesn’t work anymore
Anger is peaking among a wide range of Democrats toward Sens. Joe Manchin and Kyrsten Sinema over their resistance to President Joe Biden’s economic agenda, but the Democrats’ struggle to pass Biden’s sweeping plan is rooted in more than the personal idiosyncrasies and electoral calculations of two individual senators. It […] Read more »