Nearing the first anniversary of his swearing-in, President Biden has suffered through arguably the worst week of his presidency. Whether he has a strategy for a course correction is the question on the minds of nervous Democrats looking ahead to the November elections. Biden’s road ahead looks as challenging as […] Read more »
Can Democrats Fall In Love With the 2022 Senate Map?
… As our politics has become more and more nationalized, it’s gotten harder for an individual Senate candidate to perform much better (or worse) than the presidential nominee from his/her party. That’s both good news and bad news for Democrats. Democrats don’t need to ‘outperform’ Biden’s showing in order to […] Read more »
House Republicans’ Drive to 35
Key Points• With some key national factors seemingly in their favor, Republicans could win a healthy majority in the House in 2022 — perhaps even their biggest in nearly a century.• However, compared to past Republican midterm wave cycles, specifically 1994 and 2010, Republicans probably have less room for growth.• […] Read more »
Don’t rule out a GOP Senate wave
As usual, Democrats are fighting among themselves — this time about what to do with the Senate filibuster. … The irony here is that while some Democrats worry that carving out an exception to the filibuster might set a bad precedent, the imbalance in the three Senate classes, which I […] Read more »
Why Republicans aren’t likely to lose any Senate seats in 2022
Wisconsin’s Republican Sen. Ron Johnson announced he was running for reelection on Sunday. That should be viewed as good news by Republicans, who need a net gain of just one seat in this year’s midterm elections to wrestle Senate control from the Democrats. While we don’t know what the outcome […] Read more »
Biden’s economic message needs a reality check
… Per our Jan. 2-4 Winning the Issues survey, our first of the year, what we’re seeing isn’t a “failure to communicate” on the part of Biden, his administration and congressional Democrats, but a failure to connect with the reality most Americans are facing and the priorities people want addressed. […] Read more »