Why the Sun Belt may pick the next president

The battleground states across the industrial Midwest have functioned as the decisive tipping point of American politics for at least 30 years, especially in presidential elections. But the latest Census Bureau findings on both overall population growth and voter turnout in 2020 signal that the Sun Belt will increasingly rival, […] Read more »

Why Rising Diversity Might Not Help Democrats as Much as They Hope

The Census Bureau released two important sets of data last week that have big implications for American politics — and that challenge some prevailing assumptions for both Democrats and Republicans. The first set of data lays out long-term demographic trends widely thought to favor Democrats: Hispanics, Asian-Americans and multiracial voters […] Read more »

Do You Live in a Political Bubble?

More than half of Republicans believe that last year’s election was stolen from Donald Trump. Rather than reject claims of election fraud, Republican lawmakers have used the premise that the election was stolen to justify restrictions on voting. Mr. Trump most likely deserves much of the blame for the widespread […] Read more »

2020 census winners and losers paint a muddled future for the parties

Last week the Census Bureau released the 2020 decennial tally of the population of the nation and all 50 states, and both parties took notice. The count that determines each state’s number of seats in the House of Representatives and votes for the Electoral College was probably affected by the […] Read more »