At a time when polling in California is more muddled and uncertain than ever, there’s only one important known unknown in campaigns for statewide office following the two most recent public surveys: Who will come in second in the governor’s race in the prelim June 5 election? CONT. Calbuzz Read more »
Clues From the Upcoming California Primary
House analysts know that handicapping results in individual seats can be tricky for a lot of reasons, including the lack of independent polling in most districts. Yes, the party committees, campaigns, and other outside groups will survey the districts, but many of these polls will never see the light of […] Read more »
California: New poll finds a volatile race for second place in governor’s contest
The fight for second place in California’s governor’s race between Republican John Cox and Democrat Antonio Villaraigosa remains unpredictable and volatile as the June 5 primary approaches, according to a new USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times poll. Lt. Gov. Gavin Newsom led both by 10 percentage points or more, validating every […] Read more »
How California became the blue state alternative to Trump
For the California economy, surf’s up. And that could hasten the end of a long drought for the state in presidential politics. In early May, California marked a striking milestone in its recovery from its economic tailspin earlier in the 2000s when new data showed the state has surged past […] Read more »
Rothenberg’s Dangerous Dozen Open House Seats
Yes, it’s time for another of my “dangerous dozen open House seats” columns, which I have been writing since shortly after the establishment of the Jamestown Settlement (or so it seems). … Here is my list, in descending order of vulnerability. CONT. Stuart Rothenberg, Roll Call Read more »
An Urgent Debate for California Republicans: How to Get Back in the Game
For anyone wondering about the state of the Republican Party in California these days, consider this: There may be no Republican candidate for governor or United States senator on the state’s ballot this November. That dispiriting possibility is beginning to sink in for California Republicans, against the backdrop of a […] Read more »