With tomorrow’s recall election of Governor Gavin Newsom looming in the background, Californians in the latest Berkeley IGS Poll were asked their opinions about continuing to have the right to recall state elected officials like the governor as part of the state constitution. The survey also obtained reactions to five […] Read more »
Gavin Newsom and the Revenge of California’s ‘Anger’ Lobby
… The recall was originally a progressive reform, part of a suite of tools given to the voters of California 110 years ago by a governor determined to wrench power out of the hands of wealthy railroad barons and deliver it directly to the people. Over the past century-plus, however, […] Read more »
Republicans need a historic polling miss to win the California recall
The 2021 California gubernatorial recall election is in the final stretch, and there is a clear trend in the data. Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom’s position (i.e. the “no” option on the recall) is strengthening significantly. While there are a few gubernatorial elections featuring a polling error as large as Newsom’s […] Read more »
Unprecedented Texas Abortion Law Meets Long-Term Public Opinion
How does Texas’s new, controversial abortion ban align with Americans’ views on the procedure? Also, why is it so tricky to poll in California? It’s a timely question with Governor Gavin Newsom facing a special recall election next week. Marist Poll Read more »
The Political Winds May Blow Through California and Virginia This Fall
With our federal races becoming increasingly more parliamentary—9 out of 10 voters simply cast either Democratic or Republican votes up and down the ballot—the direction and velocity of the national political winds are becoming increasingly important. So where do we stand today, on Labor Day, 14 months before the 2022 […] Read more »
California: Newsom’s chances of surviving recall are greatly improved, Elder holds big lead in replacement election
The tide of likely voter preferences in this year’s gubernatorial recall election has turned. The latest Berkeley IGS Poll, completed earlier this week among a sample of nearly 10,000 registered voters across California, finds just 38.5% of those most likely to participate in the recall election now intending to vote […] Read more »