I have been saying that I’ll have a post about public opinion on the 2000 election, and here it is. The Supreme Court decision ending the recount was issued on December 12 at about 10PM. … On December 14 and 15, ABC News and the Washington Post conducted a poll […] Read more »
How voters rank Trump a historically bad president
… With the Trump presidency coming to a close, historians and Americans alike are starting to put Trump in historical perspective. How they think of him now versus in a few years may change. Still, it’s very clear that historians and a lot of voters believe history will remember Trump […] Read more »
Why the GOP hold on Texas is loosening
The huge surge of early voting in Texas’ rapidly growing cities and inner suburbs likely marks the end of unchallenged Republican dominance in America’s second largest state — a seismic shift in the nation’s electoral landscape. Even if President Donald Trump retains enough rural strength to hold Texas in next […] Read more »
Democrats Won’t Cede the Streets This Time
During the long legal battle in Florida that ultimately determined the 2000 presidential election, Al Gore, the Democratic nominee, specifically discouraged Jesse Jackson, the veteran civil-rights leader, from organizing public protests to demand a full counting of the disputed ballots. Gore wanted to fight solely in the courts, though that […] Read more »
Conventions Can Boost the Incumbent. Did It Work This Time?
The last two presidential re-election campaigns followed a similar playbook: define the opposition early on the most important issue, emphasize a few cultural wedge issues to rally the base while appealing to a few swing voters, and reinvigorate supporters at the convention. It was enough for George W. Bush in […] Read more »
4 ways Biden’s running mate could help — or hurt — the Democratic ticket
We know that Joe Biden’s vice presidential pick will be a female and that the announcement is coming very soon. Beyond that, it’s a mystery, though several contenders have emerged, including Sen. Kamala Harris, Rep. Karen Bass and Susan Rice, among others. Presidential nominees of the past have taken very […] Read more »