Three months until election day, Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul holds a 14-point lead over Republican Rep. Lee Zeldin, 53-39%. Democratic US Senator Chuck Schumer holds a 21-point lead over Republican Joe Pinion, 56-35%, as does Democratic State Comptroller Tom DiNapoli, who leads Republican Paul Rodriguez 51-30%. Democratic Attorney General Letitia […] Read more »
How Republicans could still blow the 2022 midterm elections
Sometimes polling trends meet your expectations. For example, you might expect a president’s approval rating to be low when we’re dealing with high inflation and negative growth in real disposable income per capita. Sometimes, however, trends in public opinion are surprising. Even as President Joe Biden’s approval rating languishes south […] Read more »
Beyond approval numbers: GOP’s midterm prospects aren’t a sure thing
One of the most reliable rules of American politics is that a president’s first-term midterm elections are bad for the president’s party. Since 1950, the president’s party has gained seats in the first midterm only once, in 2002, the first national election after the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001. […] Read more »
Republicans lead race for House control at start of 2022 campaign — CBS News Battleground Tracker
The CBS News Battleground Tracker model finds Republicans start the 2022 campaign with a lead in the race for the House, with 230 seats to 205 seats for Democrats. The party with 218 seats controls the House. Control of Congress is won and lost in districts, of course, so to […] Read more »
1 in 5 Americans Fear Getting Monkeypox but Many Know Little About It
As Covid-19 cases surge across the United States dominated by a highly transmissible subvariant and worry about Covid persists, some in the public have begun to voice concern about the new health threat of monkeypox, according to a new Annenberg Public Policy Center national survey. While 1 in 3 Americans […] Read more »
Improvement or Illusion?
Over the last couple of weeks, there’s been a shift in opinion among many political professionals about Democrats’ chances in the midterm campaign. … Yet, there’s nothing new about a late summer ‘reassessment’ of midterm assumptions. In fact, like clockwork, the out-party right about now starts to fret that their […] Read more »