Trump is back in the headlines, and it may cost Republicans in November

… Democrats have been gaining ground in their bid to hold on to the US Senate and House, and Trump likely has a lot to do with it – canceling out the normal midterm penalty with his own midterm penalty. Right now, the generic congressional ballot is basically even. If […] Read more »

Americans see politicized election system in U.S.

Many Americans believe politics has entered into the nation’s vote-counting process, with potentially big ramifications for the next election: they think that it is at least somewhat likely that some state or county officials will refuse to certify election results because of political reasons. And politics has surely entered the […] Read more »

Independent Voters Now Tilting Toward Democrats in Midterm Elections, WSJ Poll Finds

Democrats are entering the homestretch before November’s election in better shape than earlier this year, boosted by gains among independent voters, improved views of President Biden and higher voting enthusiasm among abortion-rights supporters, a Wall Street Journal poll shows. Republicans have electoral fuel to tap into if they can keep […] Read more »

From a Republican ‘tsunami’ to a ‘puddle’: Why the forecast for November is changing

It was a referendum. Now it’s a choice. For political professionals in both parties, that’s the capsule explanation for why the Democratic position in the midterm elections appears to have improved so much since summer began. When the election looked to be primarily a referendum on the performance of the […] Read more »

Republican voters continue to view Trump as the party’s leader

Less than three months from the midterm elections, a new USA Today/Ipsos poll finds that former President Trump continues to be seen as the head of the Republican party, as a majority of Republican voters believe that he can win the next presidential election and should be the party’s nominee […] Read more »

What do voters want in 2024? Democrats want a unifier, Republicans want a fighter

It’s not just that Democratic and Republican voters disagree about who should be the next president. A new USA TODAY/Ipsos Poll finds they also have different visions of the crucial characteristics to do the job. Democratic voters say they want most of all a unifier who will focus on bringing […] Read more »