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Will a Third-Lane Candidate Emerge?

After driving more than 500 miles around Iowa over three days this past weekend and listening to almost 20 candidates, the two strongest impressions I received were just how fragile Joe Biden’s front-runner status is, and how Elizabeth Warren’s ascendancy continues to be underestimated. Granted, you didn’t need to drive […] Read more »

Most Democrats Are Excited by ‘Several’ 2020 Candidates – Not Just Their Top Choice

With more than five months to go before the first votes are cast in the 2020 presidential election, a majority of Democratic voters who express a preference for one of the candidates (63%) say they feel excited about several of the candidates currently vying for the party’s nomination. Far fewer […] Read more »

What early polls can — and can’t — tell you about who will be the Democratic nominee

Presidential primaries are notoriously hard to forecast. … But we’re not completely in the dark about who is going to be the Democratic nominee. National primary polls taken at this point in the process don’t have a great track record of picking the eventual winner. But one of the candidates […] Read more »

A Recession and the Fight for the Democratic Nomination

The possibility of a global economic slowdown and/or U.S. recession has lots of folks speculating on what it would mean for President Trump’s reelection prospects. Conventional wisdom assumes it would be a political death-blow to the President. Already struggling with anemic job approval ratings in what has been a solid […] Read more »

Fox News Poll: Biden still leads Democratic race, Warren climbs into second

In the first major shakeup to the lineup, Elizabeth Warren moves ahead of Bernie Sanders to claim second place behind Joe Biden in the Democratic nomination race. In addition, primary voters sharply divide between embracing former President Obama’s legacy and taking a new path. A new Fox News Poll finds […] Read more »