Democratic voters are stuck in a self-destructive loop. The loop begins and ends with polls. Pollsters know that Democrats want to know who is the strongest candidate against President Donald Trump, so they conduct a lot of head-to-head polls matching Trump up against various contenders. The polls show that the […] Read more »
Will America Want to Have a Beer with Biden?
The latest polling data to emerge validates the view that Joe Biden went into and came out of the Houston debates as the front-runner; ditto the view that President Trump faces the more difficult reelection challenge of any elected president in the past 75 years. … My sense is that […] Read more »
Impeaching Trump On Russia Was Unpopular. Will Ukraine Be Different?
Rather suddenly, we are on a trajectory toward the potential impeachment of President Trump. … A majority of House Democrats had already expressed a desire to impeach Trump over his conduct toward Russia in the 2016 campaign and his handling of the Russia investigation, but the list of pro-impeachment Democrats […] Read more »
More good news for Elizabeth Warren, within striking distance of Joe Biden in Nevada
Elizabeth Warren has pulled within striking distance of Joe Biden for the lead in Nevada’s influential presidential caucuses. A new Suffolk University/USA TODAY Network Poll, taken after this month’s Democratic debate, shows Biden at 23% and Warren at 19% in Nevada, the state that follows Iowa and New Hampshire in […] Read more »
Elizabeth Warren has a plan for how to get ahead of Joe Biden. It just might work.
… Biden has three advantages in this primary: association with former president Barack Obama, relative policy moderation and perceived electability. It’s basically impossible for anyone to detract from or surmount those first two qualities. Biden was Obama’s vice president for eight years — he’s more closely linked with Obama than […] Read more »
Are Democrats Ready To Impeach Trump?
Democrats are once again talking about whether to impeach President Trump after news broke that Trump may have asked the Ukrainian president to dig up dirt on former Vice President Joe Biden’s son, Hunter. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses whether the Ukraine story changes […] Read more »