Democrats’ strong desire for a candidate who can defeat President Trump gives Joe Biden the edge in the nomination race, while Hispanic voters help both Biden and Bernie Sanders top Trump in hypothetical 2020 matchups. That’s according to a Fox News Poll of Nevada voters. CONT. Dana Blanton, Fox News Read more »
It May Be a Good Idea for Democratic Front-Runners Not to Look Back
Elizabeth Warren’s seemingly inexorable rise and Joe Biden’s dogged resilience have been the two major stories of the Democratic primary so far. Over the next and more intense period of campaigning in the early states, the story could be very different. The two will probably have to confront their vulnerabilities […] Read more »
The Public Impeachment Hearings Begin
Wednesday marked the beginning of public hearings on whether President Trump should be impeached for pressuring Ukraine to investigate former Vice President Joe Biden. The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast will be reacting to the impeachment hearings as they happen and, in this installment, the crew considers new evidence of Trump’s pressure […] Read more »
The picture in Iowa just got muddier, not clearer
For all of the legitimate (and occasionally overblown) hand-wringing about “horse race” coverage of national politics, it is a lamentable fact that horse racing generally offers a good analogy for polling. … On Tuesday afternoon, Monmouth University gave us a new snapshot of the race for the Democratic presidential nomination […] Read more »
Five Polling Results That May Change the Way You Think About Electability
Democratic voters have a clear ideological choice in this year’s presidential primaries. But if there is any lesson from the recent New York Times/Siena College surveys of the six closest states carried by the president, it’s that the Democrats have been presented with a series of choices about how to […] Read more »
Biden’s national poll numbers — like those for impeachment — haven’t changed much in the past month
It’s hard to debate that former vice president Joe Biden finds himself in an unusual position in polling for the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination. He has held a broadly unchallenged lead in national polling and continues to be the candidate who polls best against President Trump in prospective 2020 matchups. […] Read more »