Joe Biden is the national front-runner in the Democratic presidential race. He is holding a steady lead in national polling, and his campaign boasts of the firewall he’s established among African American voters, who may be the key to victory in the Feb. 28 South Carolina primary and who have […] Read more »
Why Twitter underestimates Joe Biden
… Biden is maintaining his national lead just as he has all year, while Harris decided to exit the race. That was not the way it was supposed to be at the beginning of the year. Biden’s a gaffe machine who is ripped almost every day on Twitter. Harris seemed […] Read more »
Kamala Harris’ 2020 exit puts ‘Biden in position to benefit’
FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver looks at who benefits from Kamala Harris’ early departure from the 2020 presidential race. This Week, ABC News Read more »
As Candidates Jostle for Position, a Long Race May Become a Marathon
With just under two months until the Iowa caucuses, the already-volatile Democratic presidential race has grown even more unsettled, setting the stage for a marathon nominating contest between the party’s moderate and liberal factions. … The contenders have recently begun to attack one another more forcefully — Ms. Warren, a […] Read more »
2020 Democrats Face Their Stress Test
… There’s something of a spotlight paradox happening in the Democratic primary this year. The candidates who have spent time under the bright lights have wilted, while those sitting in its shadow have risen. Why is this? Democrats don’t suddenly dislike the candidates who have undergone the scrutiny that comes […] Read more »
Will Impeachment Affect the Democratic Presidential Race?
When the impeachment of Donald Trump became a likely event in September, it became fashionable to speculate how Trump’s re-election fortunes might be affected: would the process hurt Trump by generating damaging disclosures and negative publicity, or would he benefit from a popular backlash and highly-mobilized Republican base? I suggested […] Read more »