This week, we break down the winners and losers of the final Democratic primary debate before the Iowa caucuses. Plus, we deep-dive into two new polls out of the Hawkeye State. Then, we discuss what Cory Booker’s exit might reveal about Democratic voters’ priorities. The Forecast Fest Read more »
What we learned about the Democratic field from Tuesday’s debate
This was not the debate anyone expected, but it was perhaps the debate that voters needed. … The CNN-Des Moines Register debate Tuesday night at Drake University did not feature the expected — choose your favorite journalistic cliché — no holds barred/gloves-are-off/there will be blood on the floor exchanges between […] Read more »
Is Democrats’ Tent Too Big to Win the White House?
How, or even whether, Democrats nationwide will vote if their party nominates someone they don’t agree with looms over the Democratic nomination process as the field winnows to candidates with very different worldviews. CONT. V. Lance Tarrance, Gallup Read more »
A Four-Way Pileup In Iowa
The latest polling in Iowa shows a tight, four-way race just three weeks away from caucus day. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew updates their thinking about who is likely to win there, and about how a win in Iowa could affect the rest of the […] Read more »
Another new poll makes clear what will happen in Iowa: No one knows
… Over the past several days, two major polls of Iowa have been released. At a glance, they seem to offer starkly different pictures of what’s likely to happen in next month’s caucuses. A poll from CNN, the Des Moines Register and Mediacom, conducted by Selzer & Co., has Sen. […] Read more »
Biden Leads Democratic Race But Loses Electability Edge Vs. President Trump: IBD/TIPP
Former Vice President Joe Biden holds a steady, though hardly comfortable lead in the Democratic nomination battle, the January IBD/TIPP Poll finds. Yet Biden’s biggest selling point since he entered the race — his electability vs. President Donald Trump — is at its lowest ebb of the 2020 election. Meanwhile, […] Read more »