America is experiencing a booming economy and record unemployment, but not everyone is feeling it. Large majorities of both African-Americans and Hispanics say they’re worried about job security, housing, and being able to pay for education and basic necessities, according to a VICE News-Ipsos poll focused on African-Americans and Hispanics. […] Read more »
The First Post-Debate Polls Are In! And They’re … Pretty Weird.
The first handful of polling since Tuesday night’s debate is out. But it doesn’t tell a terribly consistent story. Pretty much whichever Democrat you’re rooting for, you can find some polls to be happy about and others that you’d rather ignore. CONT. Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight Read more »
The Iowa caucuses look like a hot mess
… The Iowa caucuses are now a little more than two weeks away, and the electoral picture is as messy as ever. They are set to be the most unpredictable caucuses in more than a decade, and we could have multiple candidates claiming victory. If you look back over time, […] Read more »
Joe Biden’s Poll Numbers Are Steady, but Are They Immovable?
Former Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr.’s presidential campaign has been defined by what it’s not as much as by what it is. He hasn’t made waves with big-ticket policy proposals, and he has mostly avoided skirmishing with his Democratic rivals. And so, nine months into his campaign, Mr. Biden […] Read more »
Sanders and Biden Vie for the African American Vote
As the Democratic primary contest heats up, African American voters will be key in determining who the nominee will be and their relative chances at taking the White House in 2020. A deeper dive of the preferences of this voting group gives us a better understanding of how the Democratic […] Read more »
Checking in on Wisconsin
… A president sitting at 42 percent approval, with “strong disapproval” outweighing “strong approval” by 10-12 points is not going to win the national popular vote. But, that doesn’t mean he can’t win the Electoral College. And, in assessing the Electoral College reality, there’s no better place to check into […] Read more »