Our primary model is now extremely confident that former Vice President Joe Biden will win a majority of pledged delegates. … If that confidence seems misplaced — and keep in mind, our forecasts are usually more conservative than other statistical algorithms — it may be because Biden’s ascent has been […] Read more »
Black turnout in primaries might make Democrats think twice about swing voter strategy
Voters fill out Super Tuesday ballots in North Carolina. Melissa Sue Gerrits/Getty Images Todd Shaw, University of South Carolina Big wins for Joe Biden on Super Tuesday and in the South Carolina primary a few days earlier have seemingly bolstered a centrist view of how best to capture the presidency: […] Read more »
What the Polls Say About Today’s Primaries
Six states are holding Democratic primaries or caucuses on Tuesday: Idaho, Michigan, Mississippi, Missouri, North Dakota and Washington, worth a collective 352 delegates to the Democratic National Convention. There have been no recent polls by reputable organizations in North Dakota. Here is what the polls say about the other five […] Read more »
Why the Midwest may be Bernie Sanders’ last stand
The middle of the country could prove the end of the road for Sen. Bernie Sanders. The Midwestern states that begin voting Tuesday with primaries in Missouri and Michigan represent the Vermont independent’s best — and possibly last — chance to regain his footing in the Democratic presidential race after […] Read more »
Biden leads in Michigan ahead of primary
Former Vice President Joe Biden has a comfortable lead over his main opponent headed into Michigan’s Democratic presidential primary, according to a poll released Monday morning. Fifty-one percent of people polled said they would vote for Biden in Tuesday’s primary, the EPIC-MRA poll commissioned by WOOD TV8 and media partners […] Read more »
Danger Signs Abound for Sanders in Michigan — and Elsewhere
Key Points • Ahead of several delegate-rich contests this month, both national and state-level polls suggest that Joe Biden is solidifying his lead over Bernie Sanders.• Though a handful of states will be voting tomorrow, Michigan, given its significance in the 2016 primary, will be a focal point of the […] Read more »