As the death toll from the novel coronavirus pandemic continues to spiral, most Americans do not foresee a quick end to the crisis. In fact, 73% say that in thinking about the problems the country is facing from the coronavirus outbreak, the worst is still to come. … President Donald […] Read more »
Trump Struggling to Match Job Approval in Polling
Key Points• There is a substantial and persistent difference among pollsters’ findings with respect to Donald Trump’s job approval and his percentage against Joe Biden.• Biden’s ability to consolidate the anti-Trump vote will be decisive.• Trump’s statewide job approval is almost exactly what one would predict given his 2016 share […] Read more »
Trump Has a Gut Feeling About What Covid-19 Means for 2020
Evidence of President Trump’s mishandling of the current Covid-19 emergency has been building steadily. Most recently, The Washington Post on April 4 (“The U.S. was beset by denial and dysfunction as the coronavirus raged”) and The Times on April 11 (“He Could Have Seen What Was Coming: Behind Trump’s Failure […] Read more »
Trump approval rises, but more Americans support Biden for president
The number of Americans who approve of President Donald Trump rose by 5 percentage points over the past week, but registered voters still favored Democrat Joe Biden for president by a small margin, according to a Reuters/Ipsos opinion poll released on Tuesday. CONT. Chris Kahn, Reuters Read more »
Tracking The Pandemic In The Battleground
For the first time in our post-Tea Party era, America responded to a big national challenge with a single voice. Nine in ten Democrats, independents, and Republicans embraced social distancing to fight the pandemic in a way that stopped the economy, split families apart and most of all, left most […] Read more »
These Are Our Priors For The General Election
Now that Democrats have settled on a presumptive nominee, the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast team discusses their priors for the 2020 presidential contest. While seven months — and an unfolding crisis — separate us from election day, the 2020 election appears to have similar patterns to 2016’s — for now. The […] Read more »