… Simply put, a referendum on his performance is going to be a tough sell for Trump. He’s the first president in history to never have a majority job approval rating. … The only way Trump wins is to make Joe Biden absolutely unelectable, to make him an unacceptable risk. […] Read more »
Trump’s standing in battleground states may be slipping
President Donald Trump’s path to reelection was always going to hinge on his performance in a handful of swing states. That path looks more perilous for the President in a series of recent high-quality polls. CONT. Harry Enten, CNN Read more »
Biden’s strength with older voters could threaten Trump’s electoral path in 2020
A string of recent polls shows troubling signs for President Trump with older voters, a group central to his reelection effort that appears to be drifting away from him amid a pandemic that has been especially deadly for senior citizens. Former vice president Joe Biden, whose support from older voters […] Read more »
Americans More Worried About Health Than Economy, Oppose Socialism
The first wave of findings from our just completed national survey of 1,000 likely voters (+/- 3.1% at 95% C.I. taken between April 16 and 20), show more fully the dramatic extent of the unprecedented change in American voter public opinion due to the coronavirus great pandemic. Coronavirus health concerns […] Read more »
Voters are turning against Trump because of his leadership in the pandemic
In times of crisis, Americans look for strong presidential leadership and typically give presidents the benefit of the doubt. People “rally around the flag” and look for solace and a path ahead. A few months into the covid-19 crisis, however, that yearning is going unmet, and public doubts about President […] Read more »
Harvard Youth Poll: Joe Biden significantly leads Donald Trump
A new national poll of America’s 18- to 29- year-olds by the Institute of Politics (IOP) at Harvard Kennedy School finds that former Vice President Joe Biden significantly leads President Donald Trump all young Americans (+23), and his advantage among likely voters (+30) is comparable to what Senator Bernie Sanders […] Read more »