To most, Joe Biden’s clear lead in recent state polls suggests that he has the early edge in the race for the presidency. To others, it’s not so meaningful. After all, Hillary Clinton also held a clear lead in the state polls, and yet Donald J. Trump won the election. […] Read more »
Trump, Biden gear up for battle in Florida, where coronavirus isn’t the only thing on voters’ minds
… Interviews with Floridians — as well as numerous current and former lawmakers, political strategists, politics watchers and academics in Florida — paint a picture of a battleground state largely unmoved by the Trump administration’s disjointed pandemic response and Biden’s myriad proposals to handle things differently. Unlike in Pennsylvania, a […] Read more »
Biden’s lead is the steadiest on record
… Biden’s advantage is the steadiest in a race with an incumbent running since at least 1944. That could mean it’ll be harder to change the trajectory of the race going forward, though this remains more than close enough that either candidate could easily win. To know this, I went […] Read more »
Uniqueness of coronavirus ‘doesn’t mean the news is good for Trump’ in 2020
538’s Nate Silver on whether or not he thinks a bad economy hurts an incumbent president’s chances for reelection. This Week, ABC News The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack Read more »
Anxious About the Virus, Older Voters Grow More Wary of Trump
The coronavirus crisis and the administration’s halting response to it have cost President Trump support from one of his most crucial constituencies: America’s seniors. … For years, Republicans and Mr. Trump have relied on older Americans, the country’s largest voting bloc, to offset a huge advantage Democrats enjoy with younger […] Read more »
A record number hold a strong opinion of Trump
President Donald Trump’s campaign is about to unleash a “Death Star” against former Vice President Joe Biden, according to campaign manager Brad Parscale. In any other era with any other president, such imagery might seem out of place. It makes sense for Trump. Trump’s path to victory will probably rely […] Read more »