Ron DeSantis has pulled into a tie with Joe Biden in a hypothetical 2024 matchup

A new Marquette Law School Poll national survey finds Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis has pulled into a tie with President Joe Biden in a hypothetical 2024 matchup, with each receiving 42% support from registered voters nationwide. DeSantis has increased his support in polling since January, while Biden’s support has remained […] Read more »

The New Crossover Members of the House

Key Points• Republicans won a slim House majority at least in part by winning more victories in districts that Joe Biden carried than Democrats did in districts carried by Donald Trump.• There are currently slated to be 18 Republicans in Biden seats and just 5 Democrats in Trump seats.• Democrats […] Read more »

Where History Rhymed and Where It Didn’t

Earlier this cycle I compared midterm elections to Mark Twain’s famous quip about history not repeating, but often rhyming. Each midterm election is unique, but there are also patterns and norms that are constants from one midterm to the next. With the dust now (almost) settled, Twain’s quote was a […] Read more »

The House GOP’s Investigation Conundrum

The list of investigative priorities for the House Judiciary Committee that the incoming chairperson, Jim Jordan, sent to the Justice Department earlier this month reads like an assignment sheet for Fox News. … Two months before taking power, the new House Republican majority has signaled that its investigative agenda will […] Read more »