… The Democratic Party’s foremost goal is to remove President Donald Trump from office, but they’ll need to respond sufficiently to questions surrounding racial and economic inequality in addition to the fault lines exposed by the coronavirus pandemic. A roundtable discussion about the future of the Democratic Party and the […] Read more »
Famed Democratic pollster: Warren as VP would lead to Biden victory
Stan Greenberg, one of the Democratic Party’s longtime leading pollsters, urged Hillary Clinton in 2016 to pick Elizabeth Warren as her vice president. He thinks Clinton would be president had she listened. Now Greenberg — who popularized the term “Reagan Democrats” and came to prominence as Bill Clinton’s lead pollster […] Read more »
Does Biden have a problem with African American voters?
… The Biden campaign may well feel confident it has African American support. As Biden mentions often, he served as Barack Obama’s vice president for eight years, and Obama remains incredibly popular among African Americans. What’s more, black voters powered Biden’s political comeback in the Democratic primary, giving him a […] Read more »
How Much Trump Could Help (Or Harm) Down-Ballot Republicans In November
Looking ahead to November, the presidential race could decide more than just who the next president is. It could also determine which party controls the Senate or House or even a state’s legislature. And that’s because of something political science calls the “coattail effect,” which is when the popularity of […] Read more »
Recent Polling in the Swing States Favors Biden
Key Points• Recent polling in 13 swing states shows a consistent advantage for Joe Biden over Donald Trump.• The recent 2020 polling results correlate much more strongly with the 2016 election results than with the final 2016 polling results.• This suggests that pollsters have adjusted their sampling and weighting procedures […] Read more »
Does Trump Really Have Unique Appeal Among Working-Class Whites?
In this week’s FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the team discusses comments former Vice President Joe Biden made during a conversation about black voters. The crew also talks through the findings of a new study about white working class voters in the 2016 election. FiveThirtyEight The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown […] Read more »